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Geopolitical Rivalry Opens Door for Kenya, but South Africa Holds Ground

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On 26 March, French officials denied reports that they had disinvited South Africa to the upcoming G7 summit in June. They added that Kenya would be invited instead to participate in international finance reform discussions. Amid rising global geopolitical polarisation, Kenya and South Africa will face mounting pressures to align with the US and its …

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US Sanctions Raise Stakes for Rwanda in DRC Conflict

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On 2 March, the US sanctioned the Rwandan Defence Force (RDF) and four of its senior officials for providing support to the March 23 (M23) rebel group in Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). As underlined by the economic sanctions on the RDF, the US has adopted a tougher stance towards Rwandan military interference in the …

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Senegal: Debt Pressures Cast Shadow Over $100m State-Led Oil Ambitions

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On 10 February, Alioune Gueye, the CEO of Senegal’s state-owned oil company Petrosen, said that the firm plans to launch a USD 100m onshore oil exploration project later this year. The planned project reflects Senegal’s growing efforts to boost the state’s control over the development of the oil and gas sector, in line with President …

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Uranium Dispute with France Shapes Niger Junta’s Investment and Security Strategy

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On 4 February, Nigerien Justice Minister Alio Daouda announced that Niger would take legal action against French state-owned mining company Orano due to environmental degradation. Faced with worsening fiscal constraints and a worsening terrorism threat, Gen. Abdourahamane Tiani, who took over the presidency after a coup d’état on 26 July 2023, will seek to woo …

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Rwanda/DRC conflict enters a new phase as Rwanda admits backing rebels

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On 22 January, Rwandan Ambassador to the US Mathilde Mukantabana told US lawmakers that Rwanda engages in “security coordination” with the March 23 rebel group, which has occupied large territories in neighbouring Eastern DRC since January 2025. For decades, Rwanda has denied any collaboration with the M23 despite multiple reports by the UN and independent …

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Between Populism and Default: Why Senegal’s Debt Restructuring is Inevitable

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On 13 January, Prime Minister Ousmane Sonko publicly ruled out restructuring the nation’s debt, which the IMF places at 132% of GDP. Sonko’s stance against debt restructuring is at least partially driven by genuine concerns over its likely impact on the country’s reputation in the international financial markets. However, political considerations, especially the need to …

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Geopolitical Rivalry Opens Door for Kenya, but South Africa Holds Ground

US Sanctions Raise Stakes for Rwanda in DRC Conflict

Senegal: Debt Pressures Cast Shadow Over $100m State-Led Oil Ambitions

Uranium Dispute with France Shapes Niger Junta’s Investment and Security Strategy

Rwanda/DRC conflict enters a new phase as Rwanda admits backing rebels

Between Populism and Default: Why Senegal’s Debt Restructuring is Inevitable

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