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The Ebola epidemic in the DR Congo: a severely neglected public health crisis

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There has been a declared Ebola outbreak in the east of the Democratic Republic of Congo, which is currently into its fourth month. It is mostly affecting three key provinces (Ituri, Nord-Kivi, Tshopo) but which have to a lesser extent also affected other adjacent provinces. So far, the neighbouring countries of Central African Republic, South …

The Ebola epidemic in the DR Congo: a severely neglected public health crisis Read More »

A Test of Loyalty: Niger’s Mutiny and the Shifting Sahelian Balance

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A mutiny by Niger’s Special Forces against the Presidential Guard on 29 August was suppressed within 24 hours with Russian (Africa Corps) and Algerian military support. The episode exposes deep structural rifts and command weaknesses in the Nigerien army, undermining its ability to counter jihadist attacks near the capital. Algeria’s involvement is driven by three …

A Test of Loyalty: Niger’s Mutiny and the Shifting Sahelian Balance Read More »

The Sahel’s Endless War: Stalemate, Repression, and the Perils of Investment

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Armed groups and Tuareg rebel movements continue attacks across Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger. Neither side can win outright—insurgents lack the force to take capitals, while juntas cannot re‑establish full state control—resulting in a prolonged, stagnant, and geographically spreading conflict. The three military rulers are primarily focused on retaining power. Russia provides military hardware and …

The Sahel’s Endless War: Stalemate, Repression, and the Perils of Investment Read More »

CAMEROON’S CLAN WARS AT THE VERY TOP DO NOT DETER INVESTORS – YET

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The 93‑year‑old president has been away from Cameroon for over two months (in Geneva), fuelling succession speculation, though the government insists he remains in control. Biya has repeatedly rotated top generals, particularly after the 2023 Gabon coup, to discourage a military takeover; the immediate coup threat is considered low. Key players (Ngoh Ngoh, Mvondo Ayolo) …

CAMEROON’S CLAN WARS AT THE VERY TOP DO NOT DETER INVESTORS – YET Read More »

A RETURN OF FORMER PRESIDENT UMARO SISSOCO EMBALÓ TO GUINEA BISSAU?

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A new Constitution will be voted in on August 30; it contains all items on former president Umaru Sissoco Embaló’s wish list. General elections will be held on December 6 but these may be delayed. Both referendum and elections, prepared by a transitional government that is led by friends and allies of Embaló’s, will pave …

A RETURN OF FORMER PRESIDENT UMARO SISSOCO EMBALÓ TO GUINEA BISSAU? Read More »

SENEGAL: WILL THERE BE FALLOUT FROM THE FAYE – SONKO DIVORCE?

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The definitive rift between Pastef leader Ousmane Sonko and president Bassirou Diomaye Faye has derailed the political, legal and social reform agenda that brought Pastef to dominance in Senegalese politics Senegal faces a period of political instability, as the Sonko – Faye split works its way through the preparation process for the 2029 presidential election, …

SENEGAL: WILL THERE BE FALLOUT FROM THE FAYE – SONKO DIVORCE? Read More »

Zogota Verdict Enforced in France: A Warning to Mining Giants and States Alike?

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A French court granted an exequatur on July 15, 2024, recognizing an ECOWAS Court judgment against Guinea for the 2012 Zogota massacre, allowing enforcement of the $450,000 award via seizure of Guinean state assets in France. The ruling creates a cross-border enforcement precedent, warning West African states that ECOWAS human rights verdicts can now be …

Zogota Verdict Enforced in France: A Warning to Mining Giants and States Alike? Read More »

As US pressure mounts over DRC gold smuggling, Rwanda’s mining sector faces growing integrity and investor risks

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On 26 June, the US sanctioned Jean Malic Kalima, a prominent Rwandan businessman, accusing him of collaborating with the Rwandan government and the March 23 rebel group (M23) to smuggle gold from neighbouring DRC. The US claims that Gasabo Gold Refinery, which is led by Kalima, processed at least 60 kilograms of gold sourced from …

As US pressure mounts over DRC gold smuggling, Rwanda’s mining sector faces growing integrity and investor risks Read More »

Political Survival Drives Guinea’s Gold Ban, but Investor Leverage Will Delay Local Refining

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On 19 June, President Mamadi Doumbouya announced a ban on raw gold exports, as part of his mining value addition agenda. In addition to genuine development goals, the ban is driven by Doumbouya’s eagerness to prevent another coup d’état, given the country’s fragmented political space. In light of these political considerations, the authorities will increasingly …

Political Survival Drives Guinea’s Gold Ban, but Investor Leverage Will Delay Local Refining Read More »

Tshisekedi’s third-term push: Why the DRC faces a new civil war threat

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On 16 June, the DRC’s Senate passed a bill that allows changes to the constitutional presidential term limit and duration through a referendum. The bill has triggered unrest in the capital, Kinshasa, as the opposition accuse President Felix Tshisekedi of planning to extend his mandate, which ends in December 2028. Despite launching a new coalition …

Tshisekedi’s third-term push: Why the DRC faces a new civil war threat Read More »

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