Between 1998 and 2000, Ethiopia and Eritrea fought a devastating war that left between 70,000 and 100,000 people dead. The developments that have brought the two countries to the brink of renewed conflict are complex, rooted in the rise of Abiy Ahmed to the premiership in April 2018 and the shifting relationships between his government, …
Can Ethiopia and Eritrea Pull Back From the Brink? Read More »
The definitive rift between Pastef leader Ousmane Sonko and president Bassirou Diomaye Faye has derailed the political, legal and social reform agenda that brought Pastef to dominance in Senegalese politics Senegal faces a period of political instability, as the Sonko – Faye split works its way through the preparation process for the 2029 presidential election, …
SENEGAL: WILL THERE BE FALLOUT FROM THE FAYE – SONKO DIVORCE? Read More »
A French court granted an exequatur on July 15, 2024, recognizing an ECOWAS Court judgment against Guinea for the 2012 Zogota massacre, allowing enforcement of the $450,000 award via seizure of Guinean state assets in France. The ruling creates a cross-border enforcement precedent, warning West African states that ECOWAS human rights verdicts can now be …
Zogota Verdict Enforced in France: A Warning to Mining Giants and States Alike? Read More »
On 26 June, the US sanctioned Jean Malic Kalima, a prominent Rwandan businessman, accusing him of collaborating with the Rwandan government and the March 23 rebel group (M23) to smuggle gold from neighbouring DRC. The US claims that Gasabo Gold Refinery, which is led by Kalima, processed at least 60 kilograms of gold sourced from …
On 19 June, President Mamadi Doumbouya announced a ban on raw gold exports, as part of his mining value addition agenda. In addition to genuine development goals, the ban is driven by Doumbouya’s eagerness to prevent another coup d’état, given the country’s fragmented political space. In light of these political considerations, the authorities will increasingly …
On 16 June, the DRC’s Senate passed a bill that allows changes to the constitutional presidential term limit and duration through a referendum. The bill has triggered unrest in the capital, Kinshasa, as the opposition accuse President Felix Tshisekedi of planning to extend his mandate, which ends in December 2028. Despite launching a new coalition …
Tshisekedi’s third-term push: Why the DRC faces a new civil war threat Read More »
On 7 June, South African President Cyril Ramaphosa warned against incitement to violence, amid rising anti-immigrant unrest in the country. As grievances over high unemployment rates and poor public services persist, xenophobic sentiments against African immigrants in South Africa will persist in the coming years. Politicians are likely to exploit these sentiments ahead of the …
South Africa’s Xenophobic Unrest: Domestic Drivers, Limited Diplomatic Fallout Read More »
At least two people were killed in Nanyuki (Laikipia County), Kenya, on 1 June during protests against the planned establishment of a US-sponsored Ebola quarantine facility in the area. The planned quarantine facility has elicited widespread condemnation from the population, and the High Court has ordered the government to suspend the establishment of the facility. …
Courts, crowds, and contagion fears: Why Ruto is losing trust over US Ebola facility Read More »
On 26 May, Ousmane Sonko was elected as the President of the National Assembly, four days after being dismissed from his post as Prime Minister. President Bassirou Diomaye Faye will struggle to assert his authority over the coming year, as Sonko uses his new position to further consolidate power in the African Patriots of Senegal …
On 17 May, the WHO announced that a recent outbreak of Ebola disease in DRC and Uganda constitutes a public health emergency of international concern, although it does not meet the criteria for a pandemic. The ongoing outbreak, which is concentrated in the DRC’s Ituri province, is driven by the Bundibugyo strain of the virus, …
Ebola in DRC: Security Risks in Conflict Zones Outweigh Health Threats to Business Read More »
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