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SENEGAL: WILL THERE BE FALLOUT FROM THE FAYE – SONKO DIVORCE?

The definitive rift between Pastef leader Ousmane Sonko and president Bassirou Diomaye Faye has derailed the political, legal and social reform agenda that brought Pastef to dominance in Senegalese politics Senegal faces a period of political instability, as the Sonko – Faye split works its way through the preparation process for the 2029 presidential election, …

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Zogota Verdict Enforced in France: A Warning to Mining Giants and States Alike?

Leave a Comment / Uncategorized / By AM

A French court granted an exequatur on July 15, 2024, recognizing an ECOWAS Court judgment against Guinea for the 2012 Zogota massacre, allowing enforcement of the $450,000 award via seizure of Guinean state assets in France. The ruling creates a cross-border enforcement precedent, warning West African states that ECOWAS human rights verdicts can now be …

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As US pressure mounts over DRC gold smuggling, Rwanda’s mining sector faces growing integrity and investor risks

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On 26 June, the US sanctioned Jean Malic Kalima, a prominent Rwandan businessman, accusing him of collaborating with the Rwandan government and the March 23 rebel group (M23) to smuggle gold from neighbouring DRC. The US claims that Gasabo Gold Refinery, which is led by Kalima, processed at least 60 kilograms of gold sourced from …

As US pressure mounts over DRC gold smuggling, Rwanda’s mining sector faces growing integrity and investor risks Read More »

Political Survival Drives Guinea’s Gold Ban, but Investor Leverage Will Delay Local Refining

Leave a Comment / Uncategorized / By AM

On 19 June, President Mamadi Doumbouya announced a ban on raw gold exports, as part of his mining value addition agenda. In addition to genuine development goals, the ban is driven by Doumbouya’s eagerness to prevent another coup d’état, given the country’s fragmented political space. In light of these political considerations, the authorities will increasingly …

Political Survival Drives Guinea’s Gold Ban, but Investor Leverage Will Delay Local Refining Read More »

Tshisekedi’s third-term push: Why the DRC faces a new civil war threat

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On 16 June, the DRC’s Senate passed a bill that allows changes to the constitutional presidential term limit and duration through a referendum. The bill has triggered unrest in the capital, Kinshasa, as the opposition accuse President Felix Tshisekedi of planning to extend his mandate, which ends in December 2028. Despite launching a new coalition …

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South Africa’s Xenophobic Unrest: Domestic Drivers, Limited Diplomatic Fallout

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On 7 June, South African President Cyril Ramaphosa warned against incitement to violence, amid rising anti-immigrant unrest in the country. As grievances over high unemployment rates and poor public services persist, xenophobic sentiments against African immigrants in South Africa will persist in the coming years. Politicians are likely to exploit these sentiments ahead of the …

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Courts, crowds, and contagion fears: Why Ruto is losing trust over US Ebola facility

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At least two people were killed in Nanyuki (Laikipia County), Kenya, on 1 June during protests against the planned establishment of a US-sponsored Ebola quarantine facility in the area. The planned quarantine facility has elicited widespread condemnation from the population, and the High Court has ordered the government to suspend the establishment of the facility. …

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Sonko’s Assembly Presidency Sets Stage for Policy Paralysis and Sovereign Default Risk in Senegal

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On 26 May, Ousmane Sonko was elected as the President of the National Assembly, four days after being dismissed from his post as Prime Minister. President Bassirou Diomaye Faye will struggle to assert his authority over the coming year, as Sonko uses his new position to further consolidate power in the African Patriots of Senegal …

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Ebola in DRC: Security Risks in Conflict Zones Outweigh Health Threats to Business

Leave a Comment / Business, Uncategorized / By AM

On 17 May, the WHO announced that a recent outbreak of Ebola disease in DRC and Uganda constitutes a public health emergency of international concern, although it does not meet the criteria for a pandemic. The ongoing outbreak, which is concentrated in the DRC’s Ituri province, is driven by the Bundibugyo strain of the virus, …

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AfCFTA opens new era of possibilities for African trade

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Since colonial times, African trade has been dominated by the export of commodities to more developed countries outside the continent. Raw materials such as petroleum from Angola, lithium from the Democratic Republic of Congo and copper from Zambia are transformed into higher-value products in Europe, Asia and North America. With limited possibilities to turn them …

AfCFTA opens new era of possibilities for African trade Read More »

SENEGAL: WILL THERE BE FALLOUT FROM THE FAYE – SONKO DIVORCE?

Zogota Verdict Enforced in France: A Warning to Mining Giants and States Alike?

As US pressure mounts over DRC gold smuggling, Rwanda’s mining sector faces growing integrity and investor risks

Political Survival Drives Guinea’s Gold Ban, but Investor Leverage Will Delay Local Refining

Tshisekedi’s third-term push: Why the DRC faces a new civil war threat

South Africa’s Xenophobic Unrest: Domestic Drivers, Limited Diplomatic Fallout

Courts, crowds, and contagion fears: Why Ruto is losing trust over US Ebola facility

Sonko’s Assembly Presidency Sets Stage for Policy Paralysis and Sovereign Default Risk in Senegal

Ebola in DRC: Security Risks in Conflict Zones Outweigh Health Threats to Business

AfCFTA opens new era of possibilities for African trade

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