On 22 March, AFP reported that hundreds of Islamist fighters were released from jail in Mali’s capital, Bamako, amid negotiations between the authorities and Islamist militant group Nusrat al-Islam (JNIM). The release of the prisoners is intended to discourage further attacks by JNIM on fuel tankers and end the acute fuel shortages that have plagued …
Mali’s Fuel Crisis Deal May Backfire as JNIM Gains Leverage Read More »
On 15 March, the Republic of Congo held its presidential election, amid reports of low turnout. Denis Sassou Nguesso is the clear front-runner, given the dominance of his ruling Congolese Labour Party (PCT) and the weakness of the opposition. The results are likely to be contested by the opposition, amid allegations of foul play. This …
On 9 March, the AU expressed concern over recent attacks on critical energy and transport infrastructure, amid the ongoing conflict between the US/Israel and Iran. A prolonged conflict in the Persian Gulf could further expose some African countries to debt distress, as high fuel import bills hamper fiscal reforms and concessional lending. This, coupled with …
Africa caught in the crossfire: The ripple effects of escalating Gulf tensions Read More »
On 2 March, the US sanctioned the Rwandan Defence Force (RDF) and four of its senior officials for providing support to the March 23 (M23) rebel group in Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). As underlined by the economic sanctions on the RDF, the US has adopted a tougher stance towards Rwandan military interference in the …
US Sanctions Raise Stakes for Rwanda in DRC Conflict Read More »
On 21 February, Khadar Hussein Abdi, the presidency minister of the self-declared independent state of Somaliland, said that Somaliland is willing to give the US exclusive access to its mineral resources. Somaliland is hoping to capitalise on the growing desire of the US to erode China’s influence over global critical supply chains to attract US …
Somaliland: Critical mineral offer unlikely to sway the US Read More »
On 10 February, Alioune Gueye, the CEO of Senegal’s state-owned oil company Petrosen, said that the firm plans to launch a USD 100m onshore oil exploration project later this year. The planned project reflects Senegal’s growing efforts to boost the state’s control over the development of the oil and gas sector, in line with President …
Senegal: Debt Pressures Cast Shadow Over $100m State-Led Oil Ambitions Read More »
On 4 February, Nigerien Justice Minister Alio Daouda announced that Niger would take legal action against French state-owned mining company Orano due to environmental degradation. Faced with worsening fiscal constraints and a worsening terrorism threat, Gen. Abdourahamane Tiani, who took over the presidency after a coup d’état on 26 July 2023, will seek to woo …
Uranium Dispute with France Shapes Niger Junta’s Investment and Security Strategy Read More »
On 31 January, two separate drone strikes hit Enticho and Gendebta (Tigray Regional State), killing one person and injuring another. The Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF), which engaged in a two-year conflict with the federal government in 2020, will push back heavily against the efforts of the ruling Prosperity Party (PP) to co-opt Tigrayan political …
Renewed conflict in Ethiopia’s Tigray unlikely despite mounting tensions Read More »
On 22 January, Rwandan Ambassador to the US Mathilde Mukantabana told US lawmakers that Rwanda engages in “security coordination” with the March 23 rebel group, which has occupied large territories in neighbouring Eastern DRC since January 2025. For decades, Rwanda has denied any collaboration with the M23 despite multiple reports by the UN and independent …
Rwanda/DRC conflict enters a new phase as Rwanda admits backing rebels Read More »
On 20 January, Kenyan Trade Minister Lee Kinyanjui announced that Kenya had concluded a preliminary duty-free trade agreement with China. The agreement, which is expected to pave the way for a bilateral treaty, grants 98% of Kenyan exports tariff-free access to Chinese markets. It underlines Kenya’s growing preference for economic cooperation with China, amid growing …
Kenya’s Geopolitical Tightrope: New China Trade Deal Tests US Relations Read More »
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